St. Joseph's
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #96
New Haven Semi-State Rank #30
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #9
Riley Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Northwood Invite South Bend City Concord Invitational New Prairie Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/29 9/3 9/12 9/19 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 772 916 886 831 775 769 709 761
Team Adjusted Rating 820 808 831 775 769 709 761
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Northwood Invite South Bend City Concord Invitational New Prairie Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
310  Zach Taylor 12 17:14 17:28 17:22 17:14 17:09 17:20 17:02 17:21 17:07
551  Marko Enriquez 11 17:44 18:09 18:02 17:48 17:21 17:51
687  Brendan Pruitt 11 17:58 18:08 18:22 18:00 17:54 17:54 17:57 17:49
737  Josh Frabutt 11 18:03 18:10 18:03 18:22 18:07 18:05 17:55 17:51
1,273  Alex Gutierrez 11 18:45 18:48 18:39 18:44 18:33 18:36 19:28 18:43
1,455  TJ Weber 12 18:59 19:47 18:43 18:58 19:03 18:49 18:42 19:17
Aidan Dowdle 10 19:00 18:56 18:57 19:03 19:02 19:02
Alex Garcia 11 19:03 19:37 19:21 18:51 18:56 18:55 18:53 19:14
Carmelo Russo 10 19:14 19:19 19:39 19:22 19:09 18:59
Colten Brandt 11 19:16 19:28 18:58 19:31 19:23 19:04
Lucas Miller 9 19:24 19:23 19:25
Luis Gutierrez 12 19:41 19:56 19:41 19:29 19:24 20:02
Sam Forchetti 11 19:44 19:34 19:31 19:50 19:28 20:14
Liam Mayfield 10 19:52 20:27 20:31 19:47 19:31 19:43




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 8.3 198 0.8 4.0 6.2 10.2 21.1 45.4 12.5
Sectionals 100% 3.7 95 6.8 25.2 60.0 8.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zach Taylor 97.9% 76.7 97.9% 97.9%
Marko Enriquez 22.1% 109.5 22.1% 22.1%
Brendan Pruitt 1.8% 118.0 1.8% 1.8%
Josh Frabutt 0.4% 120.8 0.5% 0.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zach Taylor 100% 17.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.3 4.6 4.5 4.9 7.5 8.9 7.7 8.1 8.0 5.9 6.6 5.5 5.0 4.2 2.9 100.0%
Marko Enriquez 100% 35.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.6 100.0%
Brendan Pruitt 100% 44.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Josh Frabutt 100% 47.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Alex Gutierrez 100% 72.1 100.0%
TJ Weber 100% 80.7 98.7%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zach Taylor 7.6 0.1 1.0 4.3 7.3 11.2 13.7 20.1 15.1 8.6 7.5 5.8 3.0 1.9 0.5 0.3
Marko Enriquez 14.9 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.2 3.6 5.5 9.0 11.4 18.0 20.0 14.8 7.7 3.4 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.1
Brendan Pruitt 18.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.0 2.0 3.2 9.3 14.4 19.8 17.9 11.9 6.9 5.8 3.0 2.1 1.3
Josh Frabutt 19.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.8 3.3 8.5 13.3 17.6 16.6 12.4 8.9 6.0 5.0 2.6
Alex Gutierrez 32.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.8
TJ Weber 38.1 0.1 0.1